SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.14

2DG Stock  EUR 0.14  0.02  12.50%   
SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS's future price is the expected price of SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Backtesting, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Valuation, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Correlation, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Hype Analysis, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Volatility, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS History as well as SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Performance.
  
Please specify SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS's target price for which you would like SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS odds to be computed.

SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Target Price Odds to finish over 0.14

The tendency of SIVERS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.14 90 days 0.14 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB probability density function shows the probability of SIVERS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS has a beta of 0.1. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.146.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.136.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.086.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.130.280.43
Details

SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Technical Analysis

SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SIVERS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing SIVERS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS Predictive Forecast Models

SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS's time-series forecasting models is one of many SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS

Checking the ongoing alerts about SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SIVERS Stock

SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS financial ratios help investors to determine whether SIVERS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SIVERS with respect to the benefits of owning SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS security.