SolarEdge Technologies (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.10
| 2ED Stock | EUR 13.10 1.48 12.74% |
SolarEdge |
SolarEdge Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 13.10
The tendency of SolarEdge Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 13.10 | 90 days | 13.10 | about 86.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SolarEdge Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.25 (This SolarEdge Technologies probability density function shows the probability of SolarEdge Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SolarEdge Technologies has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SolarEdge Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SolarEdge Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SolarEdge Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SolarEdge Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SolarEdge Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SolarEdge Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SolarEdge Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SolarEdge Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SolarEdge Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SolarEdge Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SolarEdge Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
SolarEdge Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SolarEdge Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SolarEdge Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SolarEdge Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SolarEdge Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
SolarEdge Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SolarEdge Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SolarEdge Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SolarEdge Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.1 M |
SolarEdge Technologies Technical Analysis
SolarEdge Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SolarEdge Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SolarEdge Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing SolarEdge Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SolarEdge Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
SolarEdge Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many SolarEdge Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SolarEdge Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SolarEdge Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about SolarEdge Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SolarEdge Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SolarEdge Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SolarEdge Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in SolarEdge Stock
When determining whether SolarEdge Technologies is a strong investment it is important to analyze SolarEdge Technologies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact SolarEdge Technologies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SolarEdge Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out SolarEdge Technologies Backtesting, SolarEdge Technologies Valuation, SolarEdge Technologies Correlation, SolarEdge Technologies Hype Analysis, SolarEdge Technologies Volatility, SolarEdge Technologies History as well as SolarEdge Technologies Performance. For more detail on how to invest in SolarEdge Stock please use our How to Invest in SolarEdge Technologies guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.