FB Financial (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.64

2J2 Stock  EUR 48.00  1.60  3.23%   
FB Financial's future price is the expected price of FB Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FB Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FB Financial Backtesting, FB Financial Valuation, FB Financial Correlation, FB Financial Hype Analysis, FB Financial Volatility, FB Financial History as well as FB Financial Performance.
  
Please specify FB Financial's target price for which you would like FB Financial odds to be computed.

FB Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 42.64

The tendency of 2J2 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 42.64  or more in 90 days
 48.00 90 days 42.64 
about 59.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FB Financial to drop to € 42.64  or more in 90 days from now is about 59.05 (This FB Financial probability density function shows the probability of 2J2 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FB Financial price to stay between € 42.64  and its current price of €48.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.61 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FB Financial has a beta of -0.21. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FB Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FB Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FB Financial has an alpha of 0.0063, implying that it can generate a 0.006347 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FB Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FB Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FB Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.7749.6052.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.7439.5754.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.1247.9550.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.7942.1945.59
Details

FB Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FB Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FB Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FB Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FB Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

FB Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FB Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FB Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

FB Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 2J2 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.7 M

FB Financial Technical Analysis

FB Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 2J2 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FB Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing 2J2 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FB Financial Predictive Forecast Models

FB Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many FB Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FB Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FB Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about FB Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FB Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in 2J2 Stock

FB Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether 2J2 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 2J2 with respect to the benefits of owning FB Financial security.