Shantou Wanshun (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.0

300057 Stock   5.59  0.11  2.01%   
Shantou Wanshun's future price is the expected price of Shantou Wanshun instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shantou Wanshun Package performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shantou Wanshun Backtesting, Shantou Wanshun Valuation, Shantou Wanshun Correlation, Shantou Wanshun Hype Analysis, Shantou Wanshun Volatility, Shantou Wanshun History as well as Shantou Wanshun Performance.
  
Please specify Shantou Wanshun's target price for which you would like Shantou Wanshun odds to be computed.

Shantou Wanshun Target Price Odds to finish below 6.0

The tendency of Shantou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  6.00  after 90 days
 5.59 90 days 6.00 
about 87.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shantou Wanshun to stay under  6.00  after 90 days from now is about 87.86 (This Shantou Wanshun Package probability density function shows the probability of Shantou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shantou Wanshun Package price to stay between its current price of  5.59  and  6.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shantou Wanshun Package has a beta of -0.27. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Shantou Wanshun are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Shantou Wanshun Package is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Shantou Wanshun Package has an alpha of 0.6273, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shantou Wanshun Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shantou Wanshun

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shantou Wanshun Package. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.905.5910.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.479.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.080.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shantou Wanshun. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shantou Wanshun's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shantou Wanshun's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shantou Wanshun Package.

Shantou Wanshun Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shantou Wanshun is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shantou Wanshun's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shantou Wanshun Package, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shantou Wanshun within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Shantou Wanshun Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shantou Wanshun for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shantou Wanshun Package can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shantou Wanshun appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 5.37 B. Net Loss for the year was (49.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 593.68 M.
About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Theres No Escaping Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd.s Muted Revenues Despite A 30 percent Share Price Rise - Simply Wall St

Shantou Wanshun Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shantou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shantou Wanshun's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shantou Wanshun's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding910 M
Dividends Paid118.7 M
Shares Float611.6 M

Shantou Wanshun Technical Analysis

Shantou Wanshun's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shantou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shantou Wanshun Package. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shantou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shantou Wanshun Predictive Forecast Models

Shantou Wanshun's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shantou Wanshun's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shantou Wanshun's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shantou Wanshun Package

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shantou Wanshun for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shantou Wanshun Package help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shantou Wanshun appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 5.37 B. Net Loss for the year was (49.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 593.68 M.
About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Theres No Escaping Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd.s Muted Revenues Despite A 30 percent Share Price Rise - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Shantou Stock

Shantou Wanshun financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shantou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shantou with respect to the benefits of owning Shantou Wanshun security.