Zhonghang Electronic (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 65.45

300114 Stock   68.06  3.06  4.71%   
Zhonghang Electronic's future price is the expected price of Zhonghang Electronic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhonghang Electronic Measuring performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhonghang Electronic Backtesting, Zhonghang Electronic Valuation, Zhonghang Electronic Correlation, Zhonghang Electronic Hype Analysis, Zhonghang Electronic Volatility, Zhonghang Electronic History as well as Zhonghang Electronic Performance.
  
Please specify Zhonghang Electronic's target price for which you would like Zhonghang Electronic odds to be computed.

Zhonghang Electronic Target Price Odds to finish over 65.45

The tendency of Zhonghang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  65.45  in 90 days
 68.06 90 days 65.45 
about 87.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhonghang Electronic to stay above  65.45  in 90 days from now is about 87.98 (This Zhonghang Electronic Measuring probability density function shows the probability of Zhonghang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhonghang Electronic price to stay between  65.45  and its current price of 68.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhonghang Electronic has a beta of 0.81. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Zhonghang Electronic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zhonghang Electronic Measuring will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zhonghang Electronic Measuring has an alpha of 0.0175, implying that it can generate a 0.0175 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zhonghang Electronic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhonghang Electronic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhonghang Electronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.0668.0872.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.1761.1974.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.8856.9060.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
62.1070.8179.52
Details

Zhonghang Electronic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhonghang Electronic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhonghang Electronic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhonghang Electronic Measuring, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhonghang Electronic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.81
σ
Overall volatility
6.10
Ir
Information ratio 0

Zhonghang Electronic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhonghang Electronic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhonghang Electronic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhonghang Electronic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Zhonghang Electronic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhonghang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhonghang Electronic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhonghang Electronic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding590.8 M

Zhonghang Electronic Technical Analysis

Zhonghang Electronic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhonghang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhonghang Electronic Measuring. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhonghang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhonghang Electronic Predictive Forecast Models

Zhonghang Electronic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhonghang Electronic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhonghang Electronic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhonghang Electronic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhonghang Electronic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhonghang Electronic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhonghang Electronic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Zhonghang Stock

Zhonghang Electronic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhonghang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhonghang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhonghang Electronic security.