Anshan Senyuan (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.8

300210 Stock   9.57  0.03  0.31%   
Anshan Senyuan's future price is the expected price of Anshan Senyuan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Anshan Senyuan Road performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Anshan Senyuan Backtesting, Anshan Senyuan Valuation, Anshan Senyuan Correlation, Anshan Senyuan Hype Analysis, Anshan Senyuan Volatility, Anshan Senyuan History as well as Anshan Senyuan Performance.
  
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Anshan Senyuan Target Price Odds to finish over 11.8

The tendency of Anshan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  11.80  or more in 90 days
 9.57 90 days 11.80 
about 60.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anshan Senyuan to move over  11.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 60.5 (This Anshan Senyuan Road probability density function shows the probability of Anshan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anshan Senyuan Road price to stay between its current price of  9.57  and  11.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anshan Senyuan has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Anshan Senyuan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Anshan Senyuan Road will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Anshan Senyuan Road has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Anshan Senyuan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Anshan Senyuan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anshan Senyuan Road. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.789.5714.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.639.4214.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.429.2013.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.7910.7912.78
Details

Anshan Senyuan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anshan Senyuan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anshan Senyuan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anshan Senyuan Road, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anshan Senyuan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Anshan Senyuan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anshan Senyuan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anshan Senyuan Road can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anshan Senyuan Road generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Anshan Senyuan Road has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 198.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (114.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.91 M.
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Freetech Road Recycling Technology Limiteds Revenues Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors - Simply Wall St

Anshan Senyuan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anshan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anshan Senyuan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anshan Senyuan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding484.2 M

Anshan Senyuan Technical Analysis

Anshan Senyuan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anshan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anshan Senyuan Road. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anshan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Anshan Senyuan Predictive Forecast Models

Anshan Senyuan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anshan Senyuan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anshan Senyuan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Anshan Senyuan Road

Checking the ongoing alerts about Anshan Senyuan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anshan Senyuan Road help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anshan Senyuan Road generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Anshan Senyuan Road has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 198.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (114.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.91 M.
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Freetech Road Recycling Technology Limiteds Revenues Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Anshan Stock

Anshan Senyuan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anshan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anshan with respect to the benefits of owning Anshan Senyuan security.