Jahen Household (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.07
| 300955 Stock | 15.87 0.37 2.39% |
Jahen |
Jahen Household Target Price Odds to finish below 15.07
The tendency of Jahen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 15.07 or more in 90 days |
| 15.87 | 90 days | 15.07 | about 77.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jahen Household to drop to 15.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.15 (This Jahen Household Products probability density function shows the probability of Jahen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jahen Household Products price to stay between 15.07 and its current price of 15.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jahen Household Products has a beta of -0.21. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jahen Household are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jahen Household Products is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jahen Household Products has an alpha of 0.2659, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jahen Household Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jahen Household
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jahen Household Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jahen Household Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jahen Household is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jahen Household's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jahen Household Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jahen Household within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Jahen Household Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jahen Household for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jahen Household Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jahen Household appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jahen Household is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Jahen Household Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jahen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jahen Household's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jahen Household's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100.8 M |
Jahen Household Technical Analysis
Jahen Household's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jahen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jahen Household Products. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jahen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jahen Household Predictive Forecast Models
Jahen Household's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jahen Household's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jahen Household's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jahen Household Products
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jahen Household for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jahen Household Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jahen Household appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jahen Household is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Jahen Stock
Jahen Household financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jahen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jahen with respect to the benefits of owning Jahen Household security.