Fujian Wanchen (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 65.97

300972 Stock   79.20  0.92  1.18%   
Fujian Wanchen's future price is the expected price of Fujian Wanchen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fujian Wanchen Backtesting, Fujian Wanchen Valuation, Fujian Wanchen Correlation, Fujian Wanchen Hype Analysis, Fujian Wanchen Volatility, Fujian Wanchen History as well as Fujian Wanchen Performance.
  
Please specify Fujian Wanchen's target price for which you would like Fujian Wanchen odds to be computed.

Fujian Wanchen Target Price Odds to finish below 65.97

The tendency of Fujian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  65.97  or more in 90 days
 79.20 90 days 65.97 
about 32.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fujian Wanchen to drop to  65.97  or more in 90 days from now is about 32.94 (This Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology probability density function shows the probability of Fujian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fujian Wanchen Biote price to stay between  65.97  and its current price of 79.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology has a beta of -0.31. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fujian Wanchen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology has an alpha of 0.792, implying that it can generate a 0.79 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fujian Wanchen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fujian Wanchen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fujian Wanchen Biote. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.5279.0783.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.7661.3187.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.3080.8585.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
71.0776.5782.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fujian Wanchen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fujian Wanchen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fujian Wanchen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fujian Wanchen Biote.

Fujian Wanchen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fujian Wanchen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fujian Wanchen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fujian Wanchen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
8.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Fujian Wanchen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fujian Wanchen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fujian Wanchen Biote can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fujian Wanchen Biote appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 9.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (82.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 87.15 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Growth Companies With High Insider Ownership To Watch In January 2025 - Simply Wall St

Fujian Wanchen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fujian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fujian Wanchen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fujian Wanchen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding154.7 M

Fujian Wanchen Technical Analysis

Fujian Wanchen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fujian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fujian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fujian Wanchen Predictive Forecast Models

Fujian Wanchen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fujian Wanchen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fujian Wanchen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fujian Wanchen Biote

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fujian Wanchen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fujian Wanchen Biote help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fujian Wanchen Biote appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 9.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (82.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 87.15 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Growth Companies With High Insider Ownership To Watch In January 2025 - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Fujian Stock

Fujian Wanchen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fujian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fujian with respect to the benefits of owning Fujian Wanchen security.