Shenzhen Longsys (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 71.02
| 301308 Stock | 88.99 0.63 0.71% |
Shenzhen |
Shenzhen Longsys Target Price Odds to finish below 71.02
The tendency of Shenzhen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 71.02 or more in 90 days |
| 88.99 | 90 days | 71.02 | about 16.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shenzhen Longsys to drop to 71.02 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.05 (This Shenzhen Longsys Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Shenzhen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shenzhen Longsys Ele price to stay between 71.02 and its current price of 88.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shenzhen Longsys has a beta of 0.0795. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shenzhen Longsys average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shenzhen Longsys Electronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shenzhen Longsys Electronics has an alpha of 0.4307, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shenzhen Longsys Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shenzhen Longsys
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenzhen Longsys Ele. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shenzhen Longsys Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shenzhen Longsys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shenzhen Longsys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shenzhen Longsys Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shenzhen Longsys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Shenzhen Longsys Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shenzhen Longsys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shenzhen Longsys Ele can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shenzhen Longsys Ele is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Shenzhen Longsys Ele appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (827.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.03 B. | |
| Shenzhen Longsys generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Shenzhen Longsys Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shenzhen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shenzhen Longsys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenzhen Longsys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 412.9 M |
Shenzhen Longsys Technical Analysis
Shenzhen Longsys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shenzhen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shenzhen Longsys Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shenzhen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shenzhen Longsys Predictive Forecast Models
Shenzhen Longsys' time-series forecasting models is one of many Shenzhen Longsys' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shenzhen Longsys' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shenzhen Longsys Ele
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shenzhen Longsys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shenzhen Longsys Ele help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shenzhen Longsys Ele is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Shenzhen Longsys Ele appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (827.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.03 B. | |
| Shenzhen Longsys generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Shenzhen Stock
Shenzhen Longsys financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenzhen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenzhen with respect to the benefits of owning Shenzhen Longsys security.