Chongqing Sulian (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.05
| 301397 Stock | 27.48 0.52 1.93% |
Chongqing |
Chongqing Sulian Target Price Odds to finish below 22.05
The tendency of Chongqing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 22.05 or more in 90 days |
| 27.48 | 90 days | 22.05 | about 21.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chongqing Sulian to drop to 22.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.5 (This Chongqing Sulian Plastic probability density function shows the probability of Chongqing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chongqing Sulian Plastic price to stay between 22.05 and its current price of 27.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chongqing Sulian Plastic has a beta of -0.78. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chongqing Sulian are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chongqing Sulian Plastic is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Chongqing Sulian Plastic has an alpha of 0.5043, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chongqing Sulian Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chongqing Sulian
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chongqing Sulian Plastic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chongqing Sulian Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chongqing Sulian is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chongqing Sulian's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chongqing Sulian Plastic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chongqing Sulian within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Chongqing Sulian Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chongqing Sulian for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chongqing Sulian Plastic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chongqing Sulian had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Chongqing Sulian Technical Analysis
Chongqing Sulian's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chongqing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chongqing Sulian Plastic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chongqing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chongqing Sulian Predictive Forecast Models
Chongqing Sulian's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chongqing Sulian's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chongqing Sulian's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chongqing Sulian Plastic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chongqing Sulian for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chongqing Sulian Plastic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chongqing Sulian had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Chongqing Stock
Chongqing Sulian financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chongqing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chongqing with respect to the benefits of owning Chongqing Sulian security.