Loop Telecommunicatio (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 66.82
| 3025 Stock | TWD 73.80 0.30 0.40% |
Loop |
Loop Telecommunicatio Target Price Odds to finish below 66.82
The tendency of Loop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 66.82 or more in 90 days |
| 73.80 | 90 days | 66.82 | about 27.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Loop Telecommunicatio to drop to NT$ 66.82 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.82 (This Loop Telecommunication International probability density function shows the probability of Loop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Loop Telecommunication price to stay between NT$ 66.82 and its current price of NT$73.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Loop Telecommunicatio has a beta of 0.7. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Loop Telecommunicatio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Loop Telecommunication International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Loop Telecommunication International has an alpha of 0.1789, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Loop Telecommunicatio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Loop Telecommunicatio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loop Telecommunication. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Loop Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Loop Telecommunicatio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Loop Telecommunicatio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Loop Telecommunication International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Loop Telecommunicatio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Loop Telecommunicatio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Loop Telecommunicatio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Loop Telecommunication can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Loop Telecommunicatio had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Loop Telecommunicatio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Loop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Loop Telecommunicatio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loop Telecommunicatio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 70.9 M |
Loop Telecommunicatio Technical Analysis
Loop Telecommunicatio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Loop Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Loop Telecommunication International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Loop Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Loop Telecommunicatio Predictive Forecast Models
Loop Telecommunicatio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Loop Telecommunicatio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Loop Telecommunicatio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Loop Telecommunication
Checking the ongoing alerts about Loop Telecommunicatio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Loop Telecommunication help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Loop Telecommunicatio had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Loop Stock Analysis
When running Loop Telecommunicatio's price analysis, check to measure Loop Telecommunicatio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Loop Telecommunicatio is operating at the current time. Most of Loop Telecommunicatio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Loop Telecommunicatio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Loop Telecommunicatio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Loop Telecommunicatio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.