LIWANLI Innovation (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.5
| 3054 Stock | TWD 22.30 0.05 0.22% |
LIWANLI |
LIWANLI Innovation Target Price Odds to finish below 22.5
The tendency of LIWANLI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 22.50 after 90 days |
| 22.30 | 90 days | 22.50 | about 72.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LIWANLI Innovation to stay under NT$ 22.50 after 90 days from now is about 72.35 (This LIWANLI Innovation Co probability density function shows the probability of LIWANLI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LIWANLI Innovation price to stay between its current price of NT$ 22.30 and NT$ 22.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LIWANLI Innovation has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, LIWANLI Innovation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LIWANLI Innovation Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LIWANLI Innovation Co has an alpha of 0.0768, implying that it can generate a 0.0768 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LIWANLI Innovation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LIWANLI Innovation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LIWANLI Innovation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LIWANLI Innovation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LIWANLI Innovation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LIWANLI Innovation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LIWANLI Innovation Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LIWANLI Innovation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
LIWANLI Innovation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LIWANLI Innovation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LIWANLI Innovation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LIWANLI Innovation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LIWANLI Innovation Co has accumulated about 661.45 M in cash with (61.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.93. | |
| Roughly 82.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
LIWANLI Innovation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LIWANLI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LIWANLI Innovation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LIWANLI Innovation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.8 M |
LIWANLI Innovation Technical Analysis
LIWANLI Innovation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LIWANLI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LIWANLI Innovation Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing LIWANLI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LIWANLI Innovation Predictive Forecast Models
LIWANLI Innovation's time-series forecasting models is one of many LIWANLI Innovation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LIWANLI Innovation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LIWANLI Innovation
Checking the ongoing alerts about LIWANLI Innovation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LIWANLI Innovation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LIWANLI Innovation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LIWANLI Innovation Co has accumulated about 661.45 M in cash with (61.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.93. | |
| Roughly 82.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for LIWANLI Stock Analysis
When running LIWANLI Innovation's price analysis, check to measure LIWANLI Innovation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LIWANLI Innovation is operating at the current time. Most of LIWANLI Innovation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LIWANLI Innovation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LIWANLI Innovation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LIWANLI Innovation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.