RF Materials (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5340.0

327260 Stock  KRW 5,380  40.00  0.75%   
RF Materials' future price is the expected price of RF Materials instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of RF Materials Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out RF Materials Backtesting, RF Materials Valuation, RF Materials Correlation, RF Materials Hype Analysis, RF Materials Volatility, RF Materials History as well as RF Materials Performance.
  
Please specify RF Materials' target price for which you would like RF Materials odds to be computed.

RF Materials Target Price Odds to finish below 5340.0

The tendency of 327260 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 5,340  or more in 90 days
 5,380 90 days 5,340 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RF Materials to drop to W 5,340  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This RF Materials Co probability density function shows the probability of 327260 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RF Materials price to stay between W 5,340  and its current price of W5380.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RF Materials Co has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding RF Materials are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, RF Materials Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally RF Materials Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   RF Materials Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for RF Materials

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RF Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,3775,3805,383
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,9324,9355,918
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,4324,4354,438
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,2576,4037,549
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RF Materials. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RF Materials' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RF Materials' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in RF Materials.

RF Materials Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RF Materials is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RF Materials' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RF Materials Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RF Materials within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
507.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

RF Materials Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RF Materials for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RF Materials can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RF Materials generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
RF Materials has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 37.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (370.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.65 B.
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

RF Materials Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 327260 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RF Materials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RF Materials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments27.5 B

RF Materials Technical Analysis

RF Materials' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 327260 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RF Materials Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 327260 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

RF Materials Predictive Forecast Models

RF Materials' time-series forecasting models is one of many RF Materials' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RF Materials' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about RF Materials

Checking the ongoing alerts about RF Materials for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RF Materials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RF Materials generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
RF Materials has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 37.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (370.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.65 B.
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 327260 Stock

RF Materials financial ratios help investors to determine whether 327260 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 327260 with respect to the benefits of owning RF Materials security.