WinMate Communication (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 152.5

3416 Stock  TWD 152.50  0.50  0.33%   
WinMate Communication's future price is the expected price of WinMate Communication instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WinMate Communication INC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WinMate Communication Backtesting, WinMate Communication Valuation, WinMate Communication Correlation, WinMate Communication Hype Analysis, WinMate Communication Volatility, WinMate Communication History as well as WinMate Communication Performance.
  
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WinMate Communication Target Price Odds to finish below 152.5

The tendency of WinMate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 152.50 90 days 152.50 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WinMate Communication to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This WinMate Communication INC probability density function shows the probability of WinMate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WinMate Communication has a beta of 0.58. This suggests as returns on the market go up, WinMate Communication average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WinMate Communication INC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WinMate Communication INC has an alpha of 0.0897, implying that it can generate a 0.0897 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   WinMate Communication Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WinMate Communication

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WinMate Communication INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
150.87152.50154.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
131.05132.68167.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
149.36150.99152.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
134.46144.94155.41
Details

WinMate Communication Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WinMate Communication is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WinMate Communication's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WinMate Communication INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WinMate Communication within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
5.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

WinMate Communication Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WinMate Communication for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WinMate Communication INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

WinMate Communication Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WinMate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WinMate Communication's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WinMate Communication's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.5 M

WinMate Communication Technical Analysis

WinMate Communication's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WinMate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WinMate Communication INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing WinMate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WinMate Communication Predictive Forecast Models

WinMate Communication's time-series forecasting models is one of many WinMate Communication's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WinMate Communication's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WinMate Communication INC

Checking the ongoing alerts about WinMate Communication for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WinMate Communication INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for WinMate Stock Analysis

When running WinMate Communication's price analysis, check to measure WinMate Communication's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WinMate Communication is operating at the current time. Most of WinMate Communication's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WinMate Communication's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WinMate Communication's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WinMate Communication to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.