Thermaltake Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.34
| 3540 Stock | TWD 36.80 0.20 0.55% |
Thermaltake |
Thermaltake Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 31.34
The tendency of Thermaltake Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 31.34 or more in 90 days |
| 36.80 | 90 days | 31.34 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thermaltake Technology to drop to NT$ 31.34 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Thermaltake Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of Thermaltake Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thermaltake Technology price to stay between NT$ 31.34 and its current price of NT$36.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thermaltake Technology has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Thermaltake Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thermaltake Technology Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thermaltake Technology Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Thermaltake Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Thermaltake Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thermaltake Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Thermaltake Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thermaltake Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thermaltake Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thermaltake Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thermaltake Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Thermaltake Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thermaltake Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thermaltake Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Thermaltake Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Thermaltake Technology generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Thermaltake Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thermaltake Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thermaltake Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thermaltake Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.1 M |
Thermaltake Technology Technical Analysis
Thermaltake Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thermaltake Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thermaltake Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thermaltake Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thermaltake Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Thermaltake Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thermaltake Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thermaltake Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thermaltake Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thermaltake Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thermaltake Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Thermaltake Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Thermaltake Technology generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Thermaltake Stock Analysis
When running Thermaltake Technology's price analysis, check to measure Thermaltake Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thermaltake Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Thermaltake Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thermaltake Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thermaltake Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thermaltake Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.