KALRAY SA (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.91
| 3FS Stock | EUR 0.80 0.23 22.33% |
KALRAY |
KALRAY SA Target Price Odds to finish over 0.91
The tendency of KALRAY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 0.91 or more in 90 days |
| 0.80 | 90 days | 0.91 | about 77.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KALRAY SA to move over € 0.91 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.34 (This KALRAY SA EO probability density function shows the probability of KALRAY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KALRAY SA EO price to stay between its current price of € 0.80 and € 0.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KALRAY SA has a beta of 0.67. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KALRAY SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KALRAY SA EO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KALRAY SA EO has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KALRAY SA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KALRAY SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KALRAY SA EO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KALRAY SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KALRAY SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KALRAY SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KALRAY SA EO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KALRAY SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0079 |
KALRAY SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KALRAY SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KALRAY SA EO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KALRAY SA EO had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| KALRAY SA EO has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 15.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.69 M. | |
| KALRAY SA EO has accumulated about 20.24 M in cash with (5.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.75, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
KALRAY SA Technical Analysis
KALRAY SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KALRAY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KALRAY SA EO. In general, you should focus on analyzing KALRAY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KALRAY SA Predictive Forecast Models
KALRAY SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many KALRAY SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KALRAY SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KALRAY SA EO
Checking the ongoing alerts about KALRAY SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KALRAY SA EO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KALRAY SA EO had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| KALRAY SA EO has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 15.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.69 M. | |
| KALRAY SA EO has accumulated about 20.24 M in cash with (5.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.75, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in KALRAY Stock
KALRAY SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether KALRAY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KALRAY with respect to the benefits of owning KALRAY SA security.