Cellink AB (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.91
| 49Z Stock | EUR 3.60 0.53 17.26% |
Cellink |
Cellink AB Target Price Odds to finish over 3.91
The tendency of Cellink Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 3.91 or more in 90 days |
| 3.60 | 90 days | 3.91 | about 24.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cellink AB to move over € 3.91 or more in 90 days from now is about 24.96 (This Cellink AB probability density function shows the probability of Cellink Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cellink AB price to stay between its current price of € 3.60 and € 3.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cellink AB will likely underperform. Additionally Cellink AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cellink AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cellink AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cellink AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cellink AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cellink AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cellink AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cellink AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cellink AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Cellink AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cellink AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cellink AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cellink AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cellink AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cellink AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (227.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.83 B. | |
| Cellink AB generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Cellink AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cellink Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cellink AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cellink AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 5 M |
Cellink AB Technical Analysis
Cellink AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cellink Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cellink AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cellink Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cellink AB Predictive Forecast Models
Cellink AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cellink AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cellink AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cellink AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cellink AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cellink AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cellink AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cellink AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cellink AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (227.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.83 B. | |
| Cellink AB generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Cellink Stock
Cellink AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cellink Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cellink with respect to the benefits of owning Cellink AB security.