Pantech Group (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.96

5125 Stock   0.96  0.01  1.03%   
Pantech Group's future price is the expected price of Pantech Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pantech Group Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pantech Group Backtesting, Pantech Group Valuation, Pantech Group Correlation, Pantech Group Hype Analysis, Pantech Group Volatility, Pantech Group History as well as Pantech Group Performance.
  
Please specify Pantech Group's target price for which you would like Pantech Group odds to be computed.

Pantech Group Target Price Odds to finish over 0.96

The tendency of Pantech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.96 90 days 0.96 
about 65.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pantech Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 65.43 (This Pantech Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Pantech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pantech Group has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Pantech Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pantech Group Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pantech Group Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pantech Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pantech Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pantech Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.961.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.811.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.961.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.910.950.98
Details

Pantech Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pantech Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pantech Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pantech Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pantech Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Pantech Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pantech Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pantech Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pantech Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pantech Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Pantech Group generates negative cash flow from operations

Pantech Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pantech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pantech Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pantech Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding821 M
Cash And Short Term Investments181.3 M

Pantech Group Technical Analysis

Pantech Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pantech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pantech Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pantech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pantech Group Predictive Forecast Models

Pantech Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pantech Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pantech Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pantech Group Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pantech Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pantech Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pantech Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pantech Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Pantech Group generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Pantech Stock

Pantech Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pantech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pantech with respect to the benefits of owning Pantech Group security.