Deleum Bhd (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.43

5132 Stock   1.43  0.01  0.69%   
Deleum Bhd's future price is the expected price of Deleum Bhd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Deleum Bhd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
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Deleum Bhd Target Price Odds to finish over 1.43

The tendency of Deleum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.43 90 days 1.43 
about 58.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deleum Bhd to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.31 (This Deleum Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Deleum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Deleum Bhd has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Deleum Bhd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deleum Bhd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deleum Bhd has an alpha of 0.0939, implying that it can generate a 0.0939 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Deleum Bhd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deleum Bhd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deleum Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Deleum Bhd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deleum Bhd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deleum Bhd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deleum Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deleum Bhd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Deleum Bhd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deleum Bhd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deleum Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Deleum Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Deleum Bhd may become a speculative penny stock

Deleum Bhd Technical Analysis

Deleum Bhd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deleum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deleum Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deleum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Deleum Bhd Predictive Forecast Models

Deleum Bhd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deleum Bhd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deleum Bhd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Deleum Bhd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deleum Bhd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deleum Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Deleum Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Deleum Bhd may become a speculative penny stock