Ho Hup (Malaysia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.17

5169 Stock   0.17  0.00  0.00%   
Ho Hup's future price is the expected price of Ho Hup instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ho Hup Construction performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ho Hup Backtesting, Ho Hup Valuation, Ho Hup Correlation, Ho Hup Hype Analysis, Ho Hup Volatility, Ho Hup History as well as Ho Hup Performance.
  
Please specify Ho Hup's target price for which you would like Ho Hup odds to be computed.

Ho Hup Target Price Odds to finish over 0.17

The tendency of 5169 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.17 90 days 0.17 
about 6.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ho Hup to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.78 (This Ho Hup Construction probability density function shows the probability of 5169 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ho Hup Construction has a beta of -0.89. This suggests Additionally Ho Hup Construction has an alpha of 0.1803, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ho Hup Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ho Hup

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ho Hup Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.174.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.134.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.174.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.170.170.17
Details

Ho Hup Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ho Hup is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ho Hup's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ho Hup Construction, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ho Hup within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Ho Hup Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ho Hup for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ho Hup Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ho Hup Construction has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ho Hup Construction had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ho Hup Construction has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 199.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Ho Hup generates negative cash flow from operations

Ho Hup Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 5169 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ho Hup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ho Hup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding494.9 M
Short Long Term Debt246.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments48 M

Ho Hup Technical Analysis

Ho Hup's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 5169 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ho Hup Construction. In general, you should focus on analyzing 5169 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ho Hup Predictive Forecast Models

Ho Hup's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ho Hup's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ho Hup's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ho Hup Construction

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ho Hup for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ho Hup Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ho Hup Construction has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ho Hup Construction had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ho Hup Construction has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 199.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Ho Hup generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in 5169 Stock

Ho Hup financial ratios help investors to determine whether 5169 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 5169 with respect to the benefits of owning Ho Hup security.