Sweeten Real (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.20

5525 Stock  TWD 35.20  0.85  2.47%   
Sweeten Real's future price is the expected price of Sweeten Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sweeten Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sweeten Real Backtesting, Sweeten Real Valuation, Sweeten Real Correlation, Sweeten Real Hype Analysis, Sweeten Real Volatility, Sweeten Real History as well as Sweeten Real Performance.
  
Please specify Sweeten Real's target price for which you would like Sweeten Real odds to be computed.

Sweeten Real Target Price Odds to finish over 35.20

The tendency of Sweeten Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.20 90 days 35.20 
about 25.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sweeten Real to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 25.03 (This Sweeten Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Sweeten Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sweeten Real has a beta of 0.25. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Sweeten Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sweeten Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sweeten Real Estate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sweeten Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sweeten Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sweeten Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.0335.2037.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.2729.4438.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.2134.3836.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.4033.8835.36
Details

Sweeten Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sweeten Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sweeten Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sweeten Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sweeten Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Sweeten Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sweeten Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sweeten Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sweeten Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sweeten Real Estate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 777.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (49.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 221.66 M.
Sweeten Real Estate has accumulated about 353.04 M in cash with (1.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.64.
Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Sweeten Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sweeten Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sweeten Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sweeten Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding255.6 M

Sweeten Real Technical Analysis

Sweeten Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sweeten Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sweeten Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sweeten Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sweeten Real Predictive Forecast Models

Sweeten Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sweeten Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sweeten Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sweeten Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sweeten Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sweeten Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sweeten Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sweeten Real Estate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 777.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (49.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 221.66 M.
Sweeten Real Estate has accumulated about 353.04 M in cash with (1.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.64.
Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Sweeten Stock Analysis

When running Sweeten Real's price analysis, check to measure Sweeten Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sweeten Real is operating at the current time. Most of Sweeten Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sweeten Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sweeten Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sweeten Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.