Apollo Investment (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.42

55O1 Stock  EUR 13.37  0.03  0.22%   
Apollo Investment's future price is the expected price of Apollo Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Apollo Investment Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Apollo Investment Backtesting, Apollo Investment Valuation, Apollo Investment Correlation, Apollo Investment Hype Analysis, Apollo Investment Volatility, Apollo Investment History as well as Apollo Investment Performance.
  
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Apollo Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 12.42

The tendency of Apollo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 12.42  in 90 days
 13.37 90 days 12.42 
about 40.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apollo Investment to stay above € 12.42  in 90 days from now is about 40.13 (This Apollo Investment Corp probability density function shows the probability of Apollo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apollo Investment Corp price to stay between € 12.42  and its current price of €13.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Apollo Investment has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Apollo Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Apollo Investment Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Apollo Investment Corp has an alpha of 0.1056, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Apollo Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Apollo Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4113.3714.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0413.0013.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.6913.6414.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9012.7113.52
Details

Apollo Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apollo Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apollo Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apollo Investment Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apollo Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Apollo Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apollo Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apollo Investment Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apollo Investment generates negative cash flow from operations

Apollo Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apollo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apollo Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apollo Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.6 M
Dividend Yield0.1153
Dividends Paid93.3 M

Apollo Investment Technical Analysis

Apollo Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apollo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apollo Investment Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apollo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Apollo Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Apollo Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apollo Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apollo Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Apollo Investment Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Apollo Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apollo Investment Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apollo Investment generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Apollo Stock

Apollo Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apollo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apollo with respect to the benefits of owning Apollo Investment security.