5paisa Capital (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 479.28
| 5PAISA Stock | 489.90 3.75 0.76% |
5paisa |
5paisa Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 479.28
The tendency of 5paisa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 479.28 or more in 90 days |
| 489.90 | 90 days | 479.28 | about 6.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 5paisa Capital to drop to 479.28 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.5 (This 5paisa Capital probability density function shows the probability of 5paisa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 5paisa Capital price to stay between 479.28 and its current price of 489.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 5paisa Capital has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, 5paisa Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 5paisa Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 5paisa Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 5paisa Capital Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 5paisa Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 5paisa Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 5paisa Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
5paisa Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 5paisa Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 5paisa Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 5paisa Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 5paisa Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 26.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
5paisa Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 5paisa Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 5paisa Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 5paisa Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 5paisa Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| 5paisa Capital has accumulated about 12.8 B in cash with (916.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
5paisa Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 5paisa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 5paisa Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 5paisa Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 709 M |
5paisa Capital Technical Analysis
5paisa Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 5paisa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 5paisa Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing 5paisa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
5paisa Capital Predictive Forecast Models
5paisa Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many 5paisa Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 5paisa Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 5paisa Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about 5paisa Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 5paisa Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 5paisa Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 5paisa Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| 5paisa Capital has accumulated about 12.8 B in cash with (916.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in 5paisa Stock
5paisa Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether 5paisa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 5paisa with respect to the benefits of owning 5paisa Capital security.