Raytheon Technologies (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.21

5UR Stock  EUR 110.36  0.76  0.68%   
Raytheon Technologies' future price is the expected price of Raytheon Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Raytheon Technologies Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Raytheon Technologies Backtesting, Raytheon Technologies Valuation, Raytheon Technologies Correlation, Raytheon Technologies Hype Analysis, Raytheon Technologies Volatility, Raytheon Technologies History as well as Raytheon Technologies Performance.
  
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Raytheon Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 90.21

The tendency of Raytheon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 90.21  or more in 90 days
 110.36 90 days 90.21 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raytheon Technologies to drop to € 90.21  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Raytheon Technologies Corp probability density function shows the probability of Raytheon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Raytheon Technologies price to stay between € 90.21  and its current price of €110.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Raytheon Technologies has a beta of 0.45. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Raytheon Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Raytheon Technologies Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Raytheon Technologies Corp has an alpha of 0.0525, implying that it can generate a 0.0525 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Raytheon Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Raytheon Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raytheon Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.92110.36111.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.70111.14112.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
109.68111.13112.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.36112.42116.49
Details

Raytheon Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raytheon Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raytheon Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raytheon Technologies Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raytheon Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
2.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Raytheon Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Raytheon Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Raytheon Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Raytheon Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raytheon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raytheon Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raytheon Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

Raytheon Technologies Technical Analysis

Raytheon Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raytheon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raytheon Technologies Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raytheon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Raytheon Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Raytheon Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Raytheon Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raytheon Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Raytheon Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Raytheon Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Raytheon Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Raytheon Stock

When determining whether Raytheon Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Raytheon Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Raytheon Technologies Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Raytheon Technologies Corp Stock:
Check out Raytheon Technologies Backtesting, Raytheon Technologies Valuation, Raytheon Technologies Correlation, Raytheon Technologies Hype Analysis, Raytheon Technologies Volatility, Raytheon Technologies History as well as Raytheon Technologies Performance.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Raytheon Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Raytheon Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Raytheon Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.