Shanghai Pudong (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.60

600000 Stock   9.48  0.23  2.37%   
Shanghai Pudong's future price is the expected price of Shanghai Pudong instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shanghai Pudong Development performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shanghai Pudong Backtesting, Shanghai Pudong Valuation, Shanghai Pudong Correlation, Shanghai Pudong Hype Analysis, Shanghai Pudong Volatility, Shanghai Pudong History as well as Shanghai Pudong Performance.
  
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Shanghai Pudong Target Price Odds to finish over 14.60

The tendency of Shanghai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  14.60  or more in 90 days
 9.48 90 days 14.60 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shanghai Pudong to move over  14.60  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Shanghai Pudong Development probability density function shows the probability of Shanghai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shanghai Pudong Deve price to stay between its current price of  9.48  and  14.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shanghai Pudong Development has a beta of -0.37. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Shanghai Pudong are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Shanghai Pudong Development is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Shanghai Pudong Development has an alpha of 0.207, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shanghai Pudong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shanghai Pudong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Pudong Deve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.469.4811.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.907.929.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.759.7711.79
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Shanghai Pudong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shanghai Pudong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shanghai Pudong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shanghai Pudong Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shanghai Pudong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Shanghai Pudong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shanghai Pudong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shanghai Pudong Deve can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Shanghai Pudong Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shanghai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shanghai Pudong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shanghai Pudong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.4 B
Dividends Paid41.7 B
Shares Float11.3 B

Shanghai Pudong Technical Analysis

Shanghai Pudong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shanghai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shanghai Pudong Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shanghai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shanghai Pudong Predictive Forecast Models

Shanghai Pudong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shanghai Pudong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shanghai Pudong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shanghai Pudong Deve

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shanghai Pudong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shanghai Pudong Deve help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai Pudong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Pudong security.