Guangxi Wuzhou (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.82
| 600368 Stock | 3.98 0.09 2.31% |
Guangxi |
Guangxi Wuzhou Target Price Odds to finish over 3.82
The tendency of Guangxi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 3.82 in 90 days |
| 3.98 | 90 days | 3.82 | about 22.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guangxi Wuzhou to stay above 3.82 in 90 days from now is about 22.99 (This Guangxi Wuzhou Communications probability density function shows the probability of Guangxi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guangxi Wuzhou Commu price to stay between 3.82 and its current price of 3.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Guangxi Wuzhou has a beta of 0.0608. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Guangxi Wuzhou average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guangxi Wuzhou Communications will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guangxi Wuzhou Communications has an alpha of 0.1422, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guangxi Wuzhou Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guangxi Wuzhou
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangxi Wuzhou Commu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guangxi Wuzhou Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guangxi Wuzhou is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guangxi Wuzhou's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guangxi Wuzhou Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guangxi Wuzhou within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Guangxi Wuzhou Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guangxi Wuzhou for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guangxi Wuzhou Commu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Guangxi Wuzhou Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guangxi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guangxi Wuzhou's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangxi Wuzhou's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Guangxi Wuzhou Technical Analysis
Guangxi Wuzhou's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guangxi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guangxi Wuzhou Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guangxi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guangxi Wuzhou Predictive Forecast Models
Guangxi Wuzhou's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guangxi Wuzhou's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guangxi Wuzhou's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guangxi Wuzhou Commu
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guangxi Wuzhou for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guangxi Wuzhou Commu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Guangxi Stock
Guangxi Wuzhou financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangxi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangxi with respect to the benefits of owning Guangxi Wuzhou security.