Hubei Geoway (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.13
| 600462 Stock | 1.43 0.07 4.67% |
Hubei |
Hubei Geoway Target Price Odds to finish below 1.13
The tendency of Hubei Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.13 or more in 90 days |
| 1.43 | 90 days | 1.13 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hubei Geoway to drop to 1.13 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hubei Geoway Investment probability density function shows the probability of Hubei Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hubei Geoway Investment price to stay between 1.13 and its current price of 1.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hubei Geoway Investment has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hubei Geoway are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hubei Geoway Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hubei Geoway Investment has an alpha of 0.1101, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hubei Geoway Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hubei Geoway
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hubei Geoway Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hubei Geoway Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hubei Geoway is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hubei Geoway's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hubei Geoway Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hubei Geoway within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0099 |
Hubei Geoway Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hubei Geoway for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hubei Geoway Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hubei Geoway may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Hubei Geoway had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Hubei Geoway has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 404.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (67.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.83 M. | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Hubei Geoway Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hubei Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hubei Geoway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hubei Geoway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 617.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.3 M | |
| Shares Float | 517.3 M |
Hubei Geoway Technical Analysis
Hubei Geoway's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hubei Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hubei Geoway Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hubei Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hubei Geoway Predictive Forecast Models
Hubei Geoway's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hubei Geoway's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hubei Geoway's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hubei Geoway Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hubei Geoway for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hubei Geoway Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hubei Geoway may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Hubei Geoway had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Hubei Geoway has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 404.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (67.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.83 M. | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Hubei Stock
Hubei Geoway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hubei Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hubei with respect to the benefits of owning Hubei Geoway security.