HeBei Jinniu (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.17

600722 Stock   5.17  0.11  2.17%   
HeBei Jinniu's future price is the expected price of HeBei Jinniu instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HeBei Jinniu Chemical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HeBei Jinniu Backtesting, HeBei Jinniu Valuation, HeBei Jinniu Correlation, HeBei Jinniu Hype Analysis, HeBei Jinniu Volatility, HeBei Jinniu History as well as HeBei Jinniu Performance.
  
Please specify HeBei Jinniu's target price for which you would like HeBei Jinniu odds to be computed.

HeBei Jinniu Target Price Odds to finish over 5.17

The tendency of HeBei Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.17 90 days 5.17 
about 1.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HeBei Jinniu to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.76 (This HeBei Jinniu Chemical probability density function shows the probability of HeBei Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HeBei Jinniu Chemical has a beta of -0.27. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HeBei Jinniu are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HeBei Jinniu Chemical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HeBei Jinniu Chemical has an alpha of 0.5412, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HeBei Jinniu Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HeBei Jinniu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HeBei Jinniu Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.635.468.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.514.347.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.585.418.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.015.155.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HeBei Jinniu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HeBei Jinniu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HeBei Jinniu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HeBei Jinniu Chemical.

HeBei Jinniu Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HeBei Jinniu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HeBei Jinniu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HeBei Jinniu Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HeBei Jinniu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

HeBei Jinniu Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HeBei Jinniu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HeBei Jinniu Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HeBei Jinniu is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: ORION Holdings And 2 Other Undiscovered Gems To Enhance Your Portfolio - Simply Wall St

HeBei Jinniu Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HeBei Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HeBei Jinniu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HeBei Jinniu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding680.3 M

HeBei Jinniu Technical Analysis

HeBei Jinniu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HeBei Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HeBei Jinniu Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing HeBei Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HeBei Jinniu Predictive Forecast Models

HeBei Jinniu's time-series forecasting models is one of many HeBei Jinniu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HeBei Jinniu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HeBei Jinniu Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about HeBei Jinniu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HeBei Jinniu Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HeBei Jinniu is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: ORION Holdings And 2 Other Undiscovered Gems To Enhance Your Portfolio - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in HeBei Stock

HeBei Jinniu financial ratios help investors to determine whether HeBei Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HeBei with respect to the benefits of owning HeBei Jinniu security.