China Marine (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.38

600764 Stock   26.61  0.09  0.34%   
China Marine's future price is the expected price of China Marine instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of China Marine Information performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out China Marine Backtesting, China Marine Valuation, China Marine Correlation, China Marine Hype Analysis, China Marine Volatility, China Marine History as well as China Marine Performance.
  
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China Marine Target Price Odds to finish over 30.38

The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  30.38  or more in 90 days
 26.61 90 days 30.38 
about 12.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Marine to move over  30.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.76 (This China Marine Information probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Marine Information price to stay between its current price of  26.61  and  30.38  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Marine Information has a beta of -0.93. This suggests Additionally China Marine Information has an alpha of 0.6533, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   China Marine Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China Marine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Marine Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.9926.6130.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3922.0129.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.1526.7630.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.210.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Marine. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Marine's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Marine's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Marine Information.

China Marine Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Marine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Marine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Marine Information, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Marine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.93
σ
Overall volatility
4.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

China Marine Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Marine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Marine Information can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Marine appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: China launches Ocean Salinity Detection Satellite to enhance marine data collection and climate research - TV BRICS

China Marine Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding710.6 M

China Marine Technical Analysis

China Marine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Marine Information. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

China Marine Predictive Forecast Models

China Marine's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Marine's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Marine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about China Marine Information

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Marine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Marine Information help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Marine appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: China launches Ocean Salinity Detection Satellite to enhance marine data collection and climate research - TV BRICS

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Marine financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Marine security.