China Mobile (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 103.57

600941 Stock   103.57  0.31  0.30%   
China Mobile's future price is the expected price of China Mobile instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of China Mobile Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out China Mobile Backtesting, China Mobile Valuation, China Mobile Correlation, China Mobile Hype Analysis, China Mobile Volatility, China Mobile History as well as China Mobile Performance.
  
Please specify China Mobile's target price for which you would like China Mobile odds to be computed.

China Mobile Target Price Odds to finish over 103.57

The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 103.57 90 days 103.57 
about 54.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Mobile to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.27 (This China Mobile Limited probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Mobile Limited has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Mobile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Mobile Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China Mobile Limited has an alpha of 0.0628, implying that it can generate a 0.0628 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   China Mobile Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China Mobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Mobile Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.08103.57105.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.1289.61113.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
105.77107.26108.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.541.581.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Mobile. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Mobile's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Mobile's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Mobile Limited.

China Mobile Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Mobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Mobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Mobile Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Mobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
2.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

China Mobile Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Mobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Mobile Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 13.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Hong Kongs HKBN receives potential buyout proposal from China Mobile - Marketscreener.com

China Mobile Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.4 B

China Mobile Technical Analysis

China Mobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Mobile Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

China Mobile Predictive Forecast Models

China Mobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Mobile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Mobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about China Mobile Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Mobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Mobile Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 13.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Hong Kongs HKBN receives potential buyout proposal from China Mobile - Marketscreener.com

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Mobile financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Mobile security.