New China (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.09
| 601336 Stock | 47.36 1.35 2.93% |
New |
New China Target Price Odds to finish below 34.09
The tendency of New Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 34.09 or more in 90 days |
| 47.36 | 90 days | 34.09 | about 15.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New China to drop to 34.09 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.04 (This New China Life probability density function shows the probability of New Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New China Life price to stay between 34.09 and its current price of 47.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon New China has a beta of 0.86. This suggests New China Life market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, New China is expected to follow. Additionally New China Life has an alpha of 0.6581, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). New China Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for New China
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New China Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.New China Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New China is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New China's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New China Life, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New China within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
New China Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New China for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New China Life can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| New China Life appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| New China Life is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: New China Life Insurance Reports Higher Premium Income - MSN |
New China Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New China's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New China's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B |
New China Technical Analysis
New China's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New China Life. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
New China Predictive Forecast Models
New China's time-series forecasting models is one of many New China's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New China's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about New China Life
Checking the ongoing alerts about New China for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New China Life help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| New China Life appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| New China Life is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: New China Life Insurance Reports Higher Premium Income - MSN |
Other Information on Investing in New Stock
New China financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New China security.