Nantong Haixing (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.37

603115 Stock   13.24  0.37  2.72%   
Nantong Haixing's future price is the expected price of Nantong Haixing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nantong Haixing Electronics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nantong Haixing Backtesting, Nantong Haixing Valuation, Nantong Haixing Correlation, Nantong Haixing Hype Analysis, Nantong Haixing Volatility, Nantong Haixing History as well as Nantong Haixing Performance.
  
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Nantong Haixing Target Price Odds to finish below 13.37

The tendency of Nantong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  13.37  after 90 days
 13.24 90 days 13.37 
about 82.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nantong Haixing to stay under  13.37  after 90 days from now is about 82.38 (This Nantong Haixing Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Nantong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nantong Haixing Elec price to stay between its current price of  13.24  and  13.37  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nantong Haixing Electronics has a beta of -0.32. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nantong Haixing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nantong Haixing Electronics is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nantong Haixing Electronics has an alpha of 0.4998, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nantong Haixing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nantong Haixing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nantong Haixing Elec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6113.1015.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8812.3714.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1313.6216.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0113.3613.71
Details

Nantong Haixing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nantong Haixing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nantong Haixing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nantong Haixing Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nantong Haixing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Nantong Haixing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nantong Haixing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nantong Haixing Elec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nantong Haixing Elec is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aluminum Foil Electrode Market Size, Share, Comprehensive Analysis, Opportunity Assessment by 2031 - openPR

Nantong Haixing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nantong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nantong Haixing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nantong Haixing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding239.2 M

Nantong Haixing Technical Analysis

Nantong Haixing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nantong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nantong Haixing Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nantong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nantong Haixing Predictive Forecast Models

Nantong Haixing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nantong Haixing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nantong Haixing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nantong Haixing Elec

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nantong Haixing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nantong Haixing Elec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nantong Haixing Elec is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aluminum Foil Electrode Market Size, Share, Comprehensive Analysis, Opportunity Assessment by 2031 - openPR

Other Information on Investing in Nantong Stock

Nantong Haixing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nantong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nantong with respect to the benefits of owning Nantong Haixing security.