Shanghai Rongtai (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.2
| 603579 Stock | 14.03 0.52 3.57% |
Shanghai |
Shanghai Rongtai Target Price Odds to finish below 14.2
The tendency of Shanghai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 14.20 after 90 days |
| 14.03 | 90 days | 14.20 | about 83.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shanghai Rongtai to stay under 14.20 after 90 days from now is about 83.05 (This Shanghai Rongtai Health probability density function shows the probability of Shanghai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shanghai Rongtai Health price to stay between its current price of 14.03 and 14.20 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shanghai Rongtai Health has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Shanghai Rongtai are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Shanghai Rongtai Health is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Shanghai Rongtai Health has an alpha of 0.1448, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shanghai Rongtai Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shanghai Rongtai
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Rongtai Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shanghai Rongtai Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shanghai Rongtai is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shanghai Rongtai's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shanghai Rongtai Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shanghai Rongtai within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0025 |
Shanghai Rongtai Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shanghai Rongtai for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shanghai Rongtai Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Shanghai Rongtai Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shanghai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shanghai Rongtai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shanghai Rongtai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 180.7 M |
Shanghai Rongtai Technical Analysis
Shanghai Rongtai's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shanghai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shanghai Rongtai Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shanghai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shanghai Rongtai Predictive Forecast Models
Shanghai Rongtai's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shanghai Rongtai's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shanghai Rongtai's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shanghai Rongtai Health
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shanghai Rongtai for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shanghai Rongtai Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock
Shanghai Rongtai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Rongtai security.