Yunnan Jianzhijia (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.25
| 605266 Stock | 26.45 0.13 0.49% |
Yunnan |
Yunnan Jianzhijia Target Price Odds to finish below 22.25
The tendency of Yunnan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 22.25 or more in 90 days |
| 26.45 | 90 days | 22.25 | about 53.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yunnan Jianzhijia to drop to 22.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 53.4 (This Yunnan Jianzhijia Health Chain probability density function shows the probability of Yunnan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yunnan Jianzhijia price to stay between 22.25 and its current price of 26.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yunnan Jianzhijia has a beta of 0.38. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Yunnan Jianzhijia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yunnan Jianzhijia Health Chain will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yunnan Jianzhijia Health Chain has an alpha of 0.4382, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Yunnan Jianzhijia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yunnan Jianzhijia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yunnan Jianzhijia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yunnan Jianzhijia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yunnan Jianzhijia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yunnan Jianzhijia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yunnan Jianzhijia Health Chain, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yunnan Jianzhijia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Yunnan Jianzhijia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yunnan Jianzhijia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yunnan Jianzhijia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yunnan Jianzhijia appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Yunnan Jianzhijia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yunnan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yunnan Jianzhijia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yunnan Jianzhijia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 154.6 M |
Yunnan Jianzhijia Technical Analysis
Yunnan Jianzhijia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yunnan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yunnan Jianzhijia Health Chain. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yunnan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yunnan Jianzhijia Predictive Forecast Models
Yunnan Jianzhijia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yunnan Jianzhijia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yunnan Jianzhijia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yunnan Jianzhijia
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yunnan Jianzhijia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yunnan Jianzhijia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yunnan Jianzhijia appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Yunnan Stock
Yunnan Jianzhijia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yunnan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yunnan with respect to the benefits of owning Yunnan Jianzhijia security.