In Win (Taiwan) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 105.00

6117 Stock  TWD 105.00  9.50  9.95%   
In Win's future price is the expected price of In Win instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of In Win Development performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out In Win Backtesting, In Win Valuation, In Win Correlation, In Win Hype Analysis, In Win Volatility, In Win History as well as In Win Performance.
  
Please specify In Win's target price for which you would like In Win odds to be computed.

In Win Target Price Odds to finish over 105.00

The tendency of 6117 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 105.00 90 days 105.00 
about 22.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of In Win to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.23 (This In Win Development probability density function shows the probability of 6117 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon In Win has a beta of 0.74. This suggests as returns on the market go up, In Win average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding In Win Development will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally In Win Development has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   In Win Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for In Win

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as In Win Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.97105.00108.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.17103.20106.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
104.07107.11110.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.6195.37103.14
Details

In Win Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. In Win is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the In Win's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold In Win Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of In Win within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.74
σ
Overall volatility
6.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

In Win Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of In Win for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for In Win Development can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
In Win Development had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
In Win Development has accumulated NT$785.96 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
The company reported the revenue of 2.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (87.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 388.31 M.
In Win Development has accumulated about 794.72 M in cash with (57.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.97.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

In Win Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 6117 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential In Win's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. In Win's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding88.7 M

In Win Technical Analysis

In Win's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 6117 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of In Win Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing 6117 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

In Win Predictive Forecast Models

In Win's time-series forecasting models is one of many In Win's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary In Win's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about In Win Development

Checking the ongoing alerts about In Win for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for In Win Development help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
In Win Development had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
In Win Development has accumulated NT$785.96 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
The company reported the revenue of 2.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (87.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 388.31 M.
In Win Development has accumulated about 794.72 M in cash with (57.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.97.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for 6117 Stock Analysis

When running In Win's price analysis, check to measure In Win's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy In Win is operating at the current time. Most of In Win's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of In Win's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move In Win's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of In Win to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.