Dimension Computer (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.35

6140 Stock  TWD 22.10  0.25  1.12%   
Dimension Computer's future price is the expected price of Dimension Computer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dimension Computer Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dimension Computer Backtesting, Dimension Computer Valuation, Dimension Computer Correlation, Dimension Computer Hype Analysis, Dimension Computer Volatility, Dimension Computer History as well as Dimension Computer Performance.
  
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Dimension Computer Target Price Odds to finish below 22.35

The tendency of Dimension Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 22.35  after 90 days
 22.10 90 days 22.35 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dimension Computer to stay under NT$ 22.35  after 90 days from now is under 4 (This Dimension Computer Technology probability density function shows the probability of Dimension Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dimension Computer price to stay between its current price of NT$ 22.10  and NT$ 22.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dimension Computer has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dimension Computer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dimension Computer Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dimension Computer Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dimension Computer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dimension Computer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dimension Computer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.3522.1023.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.3923.1424.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.1422.8924.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.3622.7023.05
Details

Dimension Computer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dimension Computer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dimension Computer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dimension Computer Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dimension Computer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Dimension Computer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dimension Computer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dimension Computer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dimension Computer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Dimension Computer Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dimension Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dimension Computer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dimension Computer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.4 M

Dimension Computer Technical Analysis

Dimension Computer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dimension Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dimension Computer Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dimension Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dimension Computer Predictive Forecast Models

Dimension Computer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dimension Computer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dimension Computer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dimension Computer

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dimension Computer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dimension Computer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dimension Computer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Dimension Stock Analysis

When running Dimension Computer's price analysis, check to measure Dimension Computer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dimension Computer is operating at the current time. Most of Dimension Computer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dimension Computer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dimension Computer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dimension Computer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.