Wafer Works (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.27
| 6182 Stock | TWD 29.90 0.35 1.16% |
Wafer |
Wafer Works Target Price Odds to finish below 28.27
The tendency of Wafer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 28.27 or more in 90 days |
| 29.90 | 90 days | 28.27 | roughly 2.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wafer Works to drop to NT$ 28.27 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.11 (This Wafer Works probability density function shows the probability of Wafer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wafer Works price to stay between NT$ 28.27 and its current price of NT$29.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wafer Works has a beta of -0.0516. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wafer Works are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wafer Works is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wafer Works has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wafer Works Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wafer Works
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wafer Works. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wafer Works Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wafer Works is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wafer Works' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wafer Works, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wafer Works within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Wafer Works Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wafer Works for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wafer Works can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wafer Works generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Wafer Works Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wafer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wafer Works' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wafer Works' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 540.9 M |
Wafer Works Technical Analysis
Wafer Works' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wafer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wafer Works. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wafer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wafer Works Predictive Forecast Models
Wafer Works' time-series forecasting models is one of many Wafer Works' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wafer Works' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wafer Works
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wafer Works for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wafer Works help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wafer Works generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Wafer Stock Analysis
When running Wafer Works' price analysis, check to measure Wafer Works' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wafer Works is operating at the current time. Most of Wafer Works' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wafer Works' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wafer Works' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wafer Works to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.