Top Union (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.05
| 6266 Stock | TWD 33.20 0.65 1.92% |
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Top Union Target Price Odds to finish over 32.05
The tendency of Top Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above NT$ 32.05 in 90 days |
| 33.20 | 90 days | 32.05 | about 56.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Top Union to stay above NT$ 32.05 in 90 days from now is about 56.62 (This Top Union Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Top Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Top Union Electronics price to stay between NT$ 32.05 and its current price of NT$33.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Top Union has a beta of 0.1. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Top Union average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Top Union Electronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Top Union Electronics has an alpha of 0.0754, implying that it can generate a 0.0754 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Top Union Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Top Union
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top Union Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Top Union Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Top Union is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Top Union's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Top Union Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Top Union within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Top Union Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Top Union for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Top Union Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Top Union Electronics has accumulated about 327.49 M in cash with (152.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.99. | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Top Union Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Top Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Top Union's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Top Union's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 102.4 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 400 M |
Top Union Technical Analysis
Top Union's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Top Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Top Union Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Top Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Top Union Predictive Forecast Models
Top Union's time-series forecasting models is one of many Top Union's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Top Union's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Top Union Electronics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Top Union for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Top Union Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Top Union Electronics has accumulated about 327.49 M in cash with (152.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.99. | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Top Stock Analysis
When running Top Union's price analysis, check to measure Top Union's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Top Union is operating at the current time. Most of Top Union's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Top Union's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Top Union's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Top Union to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.