BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.7
| 62XA Stock | 15.90 0.40 2.45% |
BROADSTNET |
BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 Target Price Odds to finish below 16.7
The tendency of BROADSTNET Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 16.70 after 90 days |
| 15.90 | 90 days | 16.70 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 to stay under 16.70 after 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 probability density function shows the probability of BROADSTNET Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 price to stay between its current price of 15.90 and 16.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 has a beta of -0.36. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 has an alpha of 0.0707, implying that it can generate a 0.0707 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BROADSTNET LEADL-00025
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BROADSTNET LEADL 00025. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BROADSTNET LEADL-00025's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BROADSTNET LEADL 00025, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BROADSTNET Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BROADSTNET LEADL-00025's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BROADSTNET LEADL-00025's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0656 |
BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 Technical Analysis
BROADSTNET LEADL-00025's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BROADSTNET Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BROADSTNET LEADL 00025. In general, you should focus on analyzing BROADSTNET Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 Predictive Forecast Models
BROADSTNET LEADL-00025's time-series forecasting models is one of many BROADSTNET LEADL-00025's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BROADSTNET LEADL-00025's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BROADSTNET LEADL-00025's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 options trading.
Other Information on Investing in BROADSTNET Stock
BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 financial ratios help investors to determine whether BROADSTNET Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BROADSTNET with respect to the benefits of owning BROADSTNET LEADL-00025 security.