Circuit Fabology (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.87
| 688630 Stock | 62.39 0.11 0.18% |
Circuit |
Circuit Fabology Target Price Odds to finish below 38.87
The tendency of Circuit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 38.87 or more in 90 days |
| 62.39 | 90 days | 38.87 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Circuit Fabology to drop to 38.87 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Circuit Fabology Microelectronics probability density function shows the probability of Circuit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Circuit Fabology Mic price to stay between 38.87 and its current price of 62.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Circuit Fabology Microelectronics has a beta of -0.82. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Circuit Fabology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Circuit Fabology Microelectronics is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Circuit Fabology Microelectronics has an alpha of 0.4333, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Circuit Fabology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Circuit Fabology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Circuit Fabology Mic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Circuit Fabology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Circuit Fabology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Circuit Fabology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Circuit Fabology Microelectronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Circuit Fabology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Circuit Fabology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Circuit Fabology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Circuit Fabology Mic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Circuit Fabology Mic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Circuit Fabology Mic is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Circuit Fabology generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Subdued Growth No Barrier To Circuit Fabology Microelectronics Equipment Co.,Ltd. With Shares Advancing 26 percent - Simply Wall St |
Circuit Fabology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Circuit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Circuit Fabology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Circuit Fabology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 131.4 M |
Circuit Fabology Technical Analysis
Circuit Fabology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Circuit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Circuit Fabology Microelectronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Circuit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Circuit Fabology Predictive Forecast Models
Circuit Fabology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Circuit Fabology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Circuit Fabology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Circuit Fabology Mic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Circuit Fabology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Circuit Fabology Mic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Circuit Fabology Mic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Circuit Fabology Mic is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Circuit Fabology generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Subdued Growth No Barrier To Circuit Fabology Microelectronics Equipment Co.,Ltd. With Shares Advancing 26 percent - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Circuit Stock
Circuit Fabology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Circuit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Circuit with respect to the benefits of owning Circuit Fabology security.