Suzhou UIGreen (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.59
| 688661 Stock | 37.41 0.38 1.01% |
Suzhou |
Suzhou UIGreen Target Price Odds to finish below 37.59
The tendency of Suzhou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 37.59 after 90 days |
| 37.41 | 90 days | 37.59 | about 77.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Suzhou UIGreen to stay under 37.59 after 90 days from now is about 77.78 (This Suzhou UIGreen Micro probability density function shows the probability of Suzhou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Suzhou UIGreen Micro price to stay between its current price of 37.41 and 37.59 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Suzhou UIGreen Micro has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Suzhou UIGreen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Suzhou UIGreen Micro is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Suzhou UIGreen Micro has an alpha of 0.9116, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Suzhou UIGreen Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Suzhou UIGreen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Suzhou UIGreen Micro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Suzhou UIGreen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Suzhou UIGreen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Suzhou UIGreen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Suzhou UIGreen Micro, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Suzhou UIGreen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Suzhou UIGreen Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Suzhou UIGreen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Suzhou UIGreen Micro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Suzhou UIGreen Micro is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Suzhou UIGreen Micro appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 285.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 288.44 M. | |
| Suzhou UIGreen generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Suzhou UIGreen Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Suzhou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Suzhou UIGreen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Suzhou UIGreen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 14.4 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.08 | |
| Shares Float | 47.1 M |
Suzhou UIGreen Technical Analysis
Suzhou UIGreen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Suzhou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Suzhou UIGreen Micro. In general, you should focus on analyzing Suzhou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Suzhou UIGreen Predictive Forecast Models
Suzhou UIGreen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Suzhou UIGreen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Suzhou UIGreen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Suzhou UIGreen Micro
Checking the ongoing alerts about Suzhou UIGreen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Suzhou UIGreen Micro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Suzhou UIGreen Micro is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Suzhou UIGreen Micro appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 285.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 288.44 M. | |
| Suzhou UIGreen generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Suzhou Stock
Suzhou UIGreen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Suzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Suzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Suzhou UIGreen security.