ELL ENVIRONHLDGS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0165

6EL Stock  EUR 0.01  0.0005  3.45%   
ELL ENVIRONHLDGS's future price is the expected price of ELL ENVIRONHLDGS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ELL ENVIRONHLDGS HD 0001 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Backtesting, ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Valuation, ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Correlation, ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Hype Analysis, ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Volatility, ELL ENVIRONHLDGS History as well as ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Performance.
  
Please specify ELL ENVIRONHLDGS's target price for which you would like ELL ENVIRONHLDGS odds to be computed.

ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0165

The tendency of ELL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 0.02  after 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.02 
about 84.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ELL ENVIRONHLDGS to stay under € 0.02  after 90 days from now is about 84.26 (This ELL ENVIRONHLDGS HD 0001 probability density function shows the probability of ELL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ELL ENVIRONHLDGS price to stay between its current price of € 0.01  and € 0.02  at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ELL ENVIRONHLDGS HD 0001 has a beta of -1.67. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding ELL ENVIRONHLDGS HD 0001 are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, ELL ENVIRONHLDGS is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally ELL ENVIRONHLDGS HD 0001 has an alpha of 0.8983, implying that it can generate a 0.9 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ELL ENVIRONHLDGS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ELL ENVIRONHLDGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.015.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.015.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.025.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.02
Details

ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ELL ENVIRONHLDGS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ELL ENVIRONHLDGS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ELL ENVIRONHLDGS HD 0001, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ELL ENVIRONHLDGS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.90
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.67
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ELL ENVIRONHLDGS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ELL ENVIRONHLDGS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ELL ENVIRONHLDGS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ELL ENVIRONHLDGS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
ELL ENVIRONHLDGS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 158.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53.64 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Technical Analysis

ELL ENVIRONHLDGS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ELL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ELL ENVIRONHLDGS HD 0001. In general, you should focus on analyzing ELL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ELL ENVIRONHLDGS Predictive Forecast Models

ELL ENVIRONHLDGS's time-series forecasting models is one of many ELL ENVIRONHLDGS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ELL ENVIRONHLDGS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ELL ENVIRONHLDGS

Checking the ongoing alerts about ELL ENVIRONHLDGS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ELL ENVIRONHLDGS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ELL ENVIRONHLDGS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ELL ENVIRONHLDGS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
ELL ENVIRONHLDGS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 158.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53.64 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in ELL Stock

ELL ENVIRONHLDGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether ELL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ELL with respect to the benefits of owning ELL ENVIRONHLDGS security.