Ambea AB (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.64
| 6MA Stock | EUR 8.48 0.07 0.82% |
Ambea |
Ambea AB Target Price Odds to finish over 8.64
The tendency of Ambea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 8.64 or more in 90 days |
| 8.48 | 90 days | 8.64 | about 1.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ambea AB to move over € 8.64 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.64 (This Ambea AB probability density function shows the probability of Ambea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ambea AB price to stay between its current price of € 8.48 and € 8.64 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ambea AB has a beta of 0.79. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ambea AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ambea AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ambea AB has an alpha of 0.0748, implying that it can generate a 0.0748 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ambea AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ambea AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ambea AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ambea AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ambea AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ambea AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ambea AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ambea AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Ambea AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ambea AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ambea AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ambea AB has accumulated 981 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.23, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Ambea AB has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ambea AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ambea AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ambea AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ambea to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ambea AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 29.0% of Ambea AB shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Ambea AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ambea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ambea AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ambea AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 94.5 M |
Ambea AB Technical Analysis
Ambea AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ambea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ambea AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ambea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ambea AB Predictive Forecast Models
Ambea AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ambea AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ambea AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ambea AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ambea AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ambea AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ambea AB has accumulated 981 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.23, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Ambea AB has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ambea AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ambea AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ambea AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ambea to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ambea AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 29.0% of Ambea AB shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Ambea Stock
Ambea AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ambea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ambea with respect to the benefits of owning Ambea AB security.