MARUHA NICHIRO (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.50
| 6MN Stock | EUR 18.50 0.20 1.09% |
MARUHA |
MARUHA NICHIRO Target Price Odds to finish over 18.50
The tendency of MARUHA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.50 | 90 days | 18.50 | about 54.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MARUHA NICHIRO to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.91 (This MARUHA NICHIRO probability density function shows the probability of MARUHA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MARUHA NICHIRO has a beta of -0.11. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MARUHA NICHIRO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MARUHA NICHIRO is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MARUHA NICHIRO has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MARUHA NICHIRO Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MARUHA NICHIRO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MARUHA NICHIRO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MARUHA NICHIRO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MARUHA NICHIRO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MARUHA NICHIRO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MARUHA NICHIRO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MARUHA NICHIRO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
MARUHA NICHIRO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MARUHA NICHIRO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MARUHA NICHIRO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MARUHA NICHIRO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
MARUHA NICHIRO Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MARUHA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MARUHA NICHIRO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MARUHA NICHIRO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.1 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 138.5 B |
MARUHA NICHIRO Technical Analysis
MARUHA NICHIRO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MARUHA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MARUHA NICHIRO. In general, you should focus on analyzing MARUHA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MARUHA NICHIRO Predictive Forecast Models
MARUHA NICHIRO's time-series forecasting models is one of many MARUHA NICHIRO's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MARUHA NICHIRO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MARUHA NICHIRO
Checking the ongoing alerts about MARUHA NICHIRO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MARUHA NICHIRO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MARUHA NICHIRO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in MARUHA Stock
MARUHA NICHIRO financial ratios help investors to determine whether MARUHA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MARUHA with respect to the benefits of owning MARUHA NICHIRO security.