Minetech Resources (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.133

7219 Stock   0.14  0.00  0.00%   
Minetech Resources' future price is the expected price of Minetech Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Minetech Resources Bhd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Minetech Resources Backtesting, Minetech Resources Valuation, Minetech Resources Correlation, Minetech Resources Hype Analysis, Minetech Resources Volatility, Minetech Resources History as well as Minetech Resources Performance.
  
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Minetech Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.133

The tendency of Minetech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  0.13  in 90 days
 0.14 90 days 0.13 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Minetech Resources to stay above  0.13  in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Minetech Resources Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Minetech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Minetech Resources Bhd price to stay between  0.13  and its current price of 0.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Minetech Resources has a beta of 0.68. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Minetech Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Minetech Resources Bhd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Minetech Resources Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Minetech Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Minetech Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Minetech Resources Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.144.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.124.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.134.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.130.150.16
Details

Minetech Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Minetech Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Minetech Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Minetech Resources Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Minetech Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0024
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.0096

Minetech Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Minetech Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Minetech Resources Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Minetech Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Minetech Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 85.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Minetech Resources generates negative cash flow from operations

Minetech Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Minetech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Minetech Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Minetech Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B
Short Long Term Debt29.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.9 M

Minetech Resources Technical Analysis

Minetech Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Minetech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Minetech Resources Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Minetech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Minetech Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Minetech Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Minetech Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Minetech Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Minetech Resources Bhd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Minetech Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Minetech Resources Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Minetech Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Minetech Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 85.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Minetech Resources generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Minetech Stock

Minetech Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Minetech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Minetech with respect to the benefits of owning Minetech Resources security.