Gestamp Automoción (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.10

7GA Stock  EUR 3.10  0.03  0.98%   
Gestamp Automoción's future price is the expected price of Gestamp Automoción instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gestamp Automocin SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gestamp Automoción Analysis, Gestamp Automoción Valuation, Gestamp Automoción Correlation, Gestamp Automoción Hype Analysis, Gestamp Automoción Volatility, Gestamp Automoción Price History as well as Gestamp Automoción Performance.
  
Please specify Gestamp Automoción's target price for which you would like Gestamp Automoción odds to be computed.

Gestamp Automoción Target Price Odds to finish over 3.10

The tendency of Gestamp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.10 90 days 3.10 
about 5.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gestamp Automoción to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.09 (This Gestamp Automocin SA probability density function shows the probability of Gestamp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gestamp Automocin SA has a beta of -0.0361. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gestamp Automoción are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gestamp Automocin SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gestamp Automocin SA has an alpha of 0.1565, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gestamp Automoción Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gestamp Automoción

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gestamp Automoción. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.703.114.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.142.553.96
Details

Gestamp Automoción Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gestamp Automoción is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gestamp Automoción's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gestamp Automocin SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gestamp Automoción within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Gestamp Automoción Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gestamp Automoción for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gestamp Automoción can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gestamp Automoción has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Gestamp Automoción Technical Analysis

Gestamp Automoción's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gestamp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gestamp Automocin SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gestamp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gestamp Automoción Predictive Forecast Models

Gestamp Automoción's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gestamp Automoción's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gestamp Automoción's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gestamp Automoción

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gestamp Automoción for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gestamp Automoción help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gestamp Automoción has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Gestamp Stock

Gestamp Automoción financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gestamp Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gestamp with respect to the benefits of owning Gestamp Automoción security.