Gestamp Automoción (Germany) Volatility

7GA Stock  EUR 3.10  0.03  0.98%   
At this point, Gestamp Automoción is slightly risky. Gestamp Automoción holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Gestamp Automoción, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Gestamp Automoción's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (4.27), risk adjusted performance of 0.0973, and Downside Deviation of 1.57 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1298

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.41
  actual daily
12
88% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.18
  actual daily
3
97% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.13
  actual daily
10
90% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Gestamp Automoción is performing at about 10% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Gestamp Automoción by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Gestamp Automoción's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Gestamp Automoción Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Gestamp daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Gestamp's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Gestamp Automoción volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Gestamp Automoción can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Gestamp Automoción at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Gestamp Automoción's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Gestamp Automoción's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
(0.04)
Alpha
0.16
Risk
1.41
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Expected Return
0.18

Moving together with Gestamp Stock

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  0.85TQI TELECOM ITALIAPairCorr
  0.85SKNB Skanska ABPairCorr
  0.85RATV Raisio plcPairCorr
  0.716VD BD MULTI MEDIA SplitPairCorr

Moving against Gestamp Stock

  0.583HB Hybrigenics SocietePairCorr
  0.48777 EUROSPORTS GLOBAL LTDPairCorr
  0.42013A JD Inc AdrPairCorr
  0.42EFF DTEFFWECHSEL BET SplitPairCorr
  0.38013C JD IncPairCorr

Gestamp Automoción Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Gestamp Automoción's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Gestamp stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Gestamp stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Gestamp Automoción's beta of -0.0361 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Gestamp Automoción stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Gestamp Automocin SA has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.13 and kurtosis of -0.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gestamp Automoción's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gestamp Automoción's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Gestamp Automoción correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.16   β-0.04
3 Months Beta |Analyze Gestamp Automoción Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Gestamp Automoción correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Gestamp Automoción Volatility and Downside Risk

Gestamp standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Gestamp Automoción Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Gestamp Automoción stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Gestamp Automoción's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Gestamp Automoción's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Gestamp Automoción's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Gestamp Automoción's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Gestamp Automoción's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Gestamp Automoción's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Gestamp Automoción's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Gestamp Automoción Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Gestamp Automoción Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Gestamp Automocin SA has a beta of -0.0361 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gestamp Automoción are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gestamp Automocin SA is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gestamp Automoción or Automobile Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gestamp Automoción's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gestamp stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Gestamp Automocin SA has an alpha of 0.1565, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Gestamp Automoción's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how gestamp stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Gestamp Automoción Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Gestamp Automoción Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Gestamp Automoción is 770.42. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.98 and standard deviation of 1.41. The mean deviation of Gestamp Automocin SA is currently at 1.11. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Gestamp Automoción Stock Return Volatility

Gestamp Automoción historical daily return volatility represents how much of Gestamp Automoción stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 1.4068% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.764% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

INLDVDG
RRUDVDG
RRUINL
VOWDVDG
VOW94P
RRUVOW
  

High negative correlations

BTC1DVDG
VOWTLIK
BTC1INL
RRUTLIK
INLTLIK
DVDGTLIK

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Gestamp Stock performing well and Gestamp Automoción Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Gestamp Automoción's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
TLIK  12.27  2.83  0.08 (0.80) 14.66 
 27.27 
 202.56 
0BD  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
 0.00 
 0.00 
6GP1  12.24  3.89  0.14  1.51  11.93 
 2.63 
 289.31 
8SP  1.54 (0.04)(0.01) 0.02  3.73 
 4.67 
 21.96 
94P  1.79  0.06  0.01  0.32  2.08 
 3.44 
 11.80 
DVDG  0.46  0.15  0.16  0.75  0.32 
 1.00 
 3.06 
INL  3.13  0.35  0.08  0.33  4.12 
 8.76 
 24.14 
VOW  0.66  0.15  0.06 (1.29) 0.70 
 2.02 
 6.95 
BTC1  2.30 (0.62) 0.00 (0.79) 0.00 
 3.98 
 14.40 
RRU  1.89  0.18  0.06  0.63  2.00 
 3.53 
 9.23 

About Gestamp Automoción Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Gestamp Automoción or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Gestamp Automoción may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Gestamp's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Gestamp Automoción and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Gestamp Automoción fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Gestamp Automocin, S.A. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells metal automotive components in Europe, North America, South America, and Asia. Gestamp Automocin, S.A. is a subsidiary of Gestamp 2020, S.L. Gestamp Automocin is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.
Gestamp Automoción's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Gestamp Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Gestamp Automoción's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Gestamp Automoción's volatility to invest better

Higher Gestamp Automoción's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Gestamp Automoción stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Gestamp Automoción stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Gestamp Automoción investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Gestamp Automoción's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Gestamp Automoción's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Gestamp Automoción Investment Opportunity

Gestamp Automocin SA has a volatility of 1.41 and is 1.86 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Gestamp Automocin SA is lower than 12 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Gestamp Automocin SA to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Gestamp Automoción to be traded at €3.41 in 90 days.

Very poor diversification

The correlation between Gestamp Automocin SA and DJI is 0.81 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Gestamp Automocin SA and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Gestamp Automoción Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gestamp Automoción's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gestamp Automoción's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Gestamp Automoción stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Gestamp Automoción Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Gestamp Automoción as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Gestamp Automoción's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Gestamp Automoción's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Gestamp Automocin SA.

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When running Gestamp Automoción's price analysis, check to measure Gestamp Automoción's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gestamp Automoción is operating at the current time. Most of Gestamp Automoción's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gestamp Automoción's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gestamp Automoción's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gestamp Automoción to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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