Lotus Bakeries (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10540.00

7LB Stock  EUR 10,540  120.00  1.13%   
Lotus Bakeries' future price is the expected price of Lotus Bakeries instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lotus Bakeries NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lotus Bakeries Analysis, Lotus Bakeries Valuation, Lotus Bakeries Correlation, Lotus Bakeries Hype Analysis, Lotus Bakeries Volatility, Lotus Bakeries Price History as well as Lotus Bakeries Performance.
  
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Lotus Bakeries Target Price Odds to finish over 10540.00

The tendency of Lotus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10,540 90 days 10,540 
roughly 2.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lotus Bakeries to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.62 (This Lotus Bakeries NV probability density function shows the probability of Lotus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lotus Bakeries has a beta of 0.0306. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lotus Bakeries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lotus Bakeries NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lotus Bakeries NV has an alpha of 0.5141, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lotus Bakeries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lotus Bakeries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lotus Bakeries NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,48610,55310,554
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,48611,51211,514
Details

Lotus Bakeries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lotus Bakeries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lotus Bakeries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lotus Bakeries NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lotus Bakeries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1,055
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Lotus Bakeries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lotus Bakeries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lotus Bakeries NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lotus Bakeries FY revenue EUR 1.36 bln - marketscreener.com

Lotus Bakeries Technical Analysis

Lotus Bakeries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lotus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lotus Bakeries NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lotus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lotus Bakeries Predictive Forecast Models

Lotus Bakeries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lotus Bakeries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lotus Bakeries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lotus Bakeries NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lotus Bakeries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lotus Bakeries NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lotus Bakeries FY revenue EUR 1.36 bln - marketscreener.com

Other Information on Investing in Lotus Stock

Lotus Bakeries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lotus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lotus with respect to the benefits of owning Lotus Bakeries security.