Lotus Bakeries (Germany) Market Outlook

7LB Stock  EUR 10,540  120.00  1.13%   
Roughly 61% of Lotus Bakeries' investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Lotus Bakeries NV stock suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Lotus Bakeries' historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Lotus Bakeries NV stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.

Comfort Level 39

 Alarmed

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Lotus Bakeries' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Lotus Bakeries NV.
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lotus Bakeries NV is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Lotus Bakeries buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 7LB positions.

Execute Lotus Bakeries Advice

The Lotus recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lotus Bakeries NV. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lotus Bakeries NV or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lotus Bakeries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Lotus BakeriesBuy Lotus Bakeries
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Lotus Bakeries NV has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2315, Jensen Alpha of 0.5141, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3763, Sortino Ratio of 0.3063 and Treynor Ratio of 16.86
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Lotus Bakeries NV to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Lotus Bakeries. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Lotus Bakeries NV is not overpriced, please verify all Lotus Bakeries NV fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, revenue, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to sales .

Lotus Bakeries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lotus Bakeries FY revenue EUR 1.36 bln - marketscreener.com

Lotus Bakeries Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lotus Bakeries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lotus Bakeries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lotus Bakeries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lotus Bakeries NV price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lotus Bakeries returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Lotus Bakeries.
Mean Return
0.53
Value At Risk
-2.21
Potential Upside
3.73
Standard Deviation
1.88
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lotus Bakeries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lotus Bakeries Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change To Inventory(13.0M)(15.6M)(6.5M)(13.6M)(12.2M)(12.8M)
Investments(47.5M)(141.4M)(10.6M)(37.2M)(42.8M)(44.9M)
Change In Cash47.9M(55.2M)56.8M(34.3M)(30.9M)(29.3M)
Free Cash Flow68.9M(12.3M)88.9M64.5M74.2M55.3M
Depreciation23.2M25.2M32.9M36.6M42.1M26.6M
Other Non Cash Items3.3M3.3M2.4M1.9M1.7M2.3M
Dividends Paid28.8M32.8M36.5M47.0M54.1M33.2M
Capital Expenditures42.0M123.1M65.5M117.6M135.2M72.1M
Net Income90.8M103.2M129.3M152.6M175.5M110.0M
End Period Cash Flow132.2M76.4M131.2M98.3M113.1M95.1M

Lotus Bakeries Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lotus Bakeries or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lotus Bakeries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lotus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Lotus Bakeries Volatility Alert

Lotus Bakeries NV has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.73 and kurtosis of 1.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lotus Bakeries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lotus Bakeries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Lotus Bakeries Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lotus Bakeries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lotus Bakeries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lotus Bakeries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lotus Bakeries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lotus Bakeries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lotus Bakeries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lotus Bakeries to competition
FundamentalsLotus BakeriesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset0.0992-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.18 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.59 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding812.05 K571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders50.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions11.32 %39.21 %
Price To Book11.17 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.32 X11.42 X
Revenue1.36 B9.43 B
Gross Profit536.71 M27.38 B
EBITDA261.6 M3.9 B
Total Debt95 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share1,059 X1.93 K
Earnings Per Share197.10 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees4.15 K18.84 K
Beta0.58-0.15
Market Capitalization8.56 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.39 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings810.95 M9.33 B
Working Capital60.09 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset1.39 B
Last Dividend Paid90.0

Lotus Bakeries Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lotus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Lotus Bakeries Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lotus Bakeries NV? Buying financial instruments such as Lotus Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Lotus Stock

Lotus Bakeries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lotus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lotus with respect to the benefits of owning Lotus Bakeries security.