Thunder Tiger (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 56.29

8033 Stock  TWD 57.70  1.80  3.03%   
Thunder Tiger's future price is the expected price of Thunder Tiger instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thunder Tiger Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thunder Tiger Backtesting, Thunder Tiger Valuation, Thunder Tiger Correlation, Thunder Tiger Hype Analysis, Thunder Tiger Volatility, Thunder Tiger History as well as Thunder Tiger Performance.
  
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Thunder Tiger Target Price Odds to finish over 56.29

The tendency of Thunder Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above NT$ 56.29  in 90 days
 57.70 90 days 56.29 
about 72.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thunder Tiger to stay above NT$ 56.29  in 90 days from now is about 72.16 (This Thunder Tiger Corp probability density function shows the probability of Thunder Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thunder Tiger Corp price to stay between NT$ 56.29  and its current price of NT$57.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thunder Tiger has a beta of 0.88. This suggests Thunder Tiger Corp market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Thunder Tiger is expected to follow. Additionally Thunder Tiger Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thunder Tiger Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thunder Tiger

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thunder Tiger Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.4759.5061.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.2758.3060.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.6756.7058.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
53.2057.4561.70
Details

Thunder Tiger Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thunder Tiger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thunder Tiger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thunder Tiger Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thunder Tiger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.88
σ
Overall volatility
2.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Thunder Tiger Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thunder Tiger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thunder Tiger Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thunder Tiger Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Thunder Tiger Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thunder Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thunder Tiger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thunder Tiger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.6 M

Thunder Tiger Technical Analysis

Thunder Tiger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thunder Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thunder Tiger Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thunder Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thunder Tiger Predictive Forecast Models

Thunder Tiger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thunder Tiger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thunder Tiger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thunder Tiger Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thunder Tiger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thunder Tiger Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thunder Tiger Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Thunder Stock Analysis

When running Thunder Tiger's price analysis, check to measure Thunder Tiger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thunder Tiger is operating at the current time. Most of Thunder Tiger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thunder Tiger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thunder Tiger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thunder Tiger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.